AC Monza vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
PIZ
1 - 1
ASS
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 0
GEN
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PAD
2 - 1
ASS
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
RAV
3 - 0
ASS
48%
26%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
FER
2 - 4
NOV
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SPE
2 - 0
FER
60%
25%
16%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
FER
0 - 1
CTT
30%
29%
42%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SAL
1 - 1
FER
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
FER
1 - 1
PAD
27%
28%
45%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |