AC Monza vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 3
ASS
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 0
ASS
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 1
USF
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
ASS
44%
28%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 2
REG
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FCV
0 - 2
USF
23%
26%
52%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FCV
0 - 0
TAR
17%
30%
53%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
FCV
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 0
SPA
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
FCV
65%
22%
13%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |