AC Monza vs Fanfulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 3
ASS
20%
21%
59%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
PON
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 3
ASS
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 2
ASS
35%
27%
39%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 0
VIR
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 1
VIR
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
0 - 2
FAN
41%
23%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FAN
3 - 1
LEC
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 1
DCA
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PER
1 - 0
FAN
32%
24%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |