AC Montichiari vs Montecchio Maggiore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 0
ACM
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ACM
3 - 1
MON
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ACM
0 - 1
VNZ
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
ACM
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ACM
0 - 0
CON
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Montecchio Maggiore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MON
1 - 3
ACE
16%
22%
63%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 0
MON
75%
16%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
VIR
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
MON
3 - 3
POR
16%
22%
63%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
DMG
2 - 0
MON
75%
17%
8%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |