AC Mezzocorona vs Union Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Mezzocorona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
ACM
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACM
0 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAC
1 - 0
ACM
50%
25%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACM
0 - 2
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
ACM
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
CON
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 2
UNI
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 3
DEL
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TAM
0 - 2
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
LEG
1 - 0
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |