Mantova vs Voghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
MAN
17%
24%
58%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
CAN
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ALZ
0 - 1
MAN
17%
24%
59%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
OLG
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 2
MAN
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VOG
2 - 1
FCC
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
VOG
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VOG
2 - 1
COL
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 0
VOG
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VOG
0 - 0
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |