Mantova vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ACS
4 - 0
MAN
11%
21%
68%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 0
REN
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAN
12%
22%
66%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 3
ACG
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
CHI
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 1
USA
13%
24%
63%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
USP
2 - 0
ACD
27%
27%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -4 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 1
LEC
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VIN
2 - 1
ACD
30%
27%
42%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAV
3 - 2
ACD
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |