Mantova vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAN
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
TRI
1 - 0
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASC
39%
29%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
CTT
0 - 2
MAN
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 1
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CTT
0 - 1
VIC
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
VIC
3 - 0
AVE
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
PIS
0 - 2
VIC
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 2
BAR
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 1
EMP
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |