Lega Pro Relegation Play-offs Final
Global 1-2
Mantova vs AlbinoLeffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
ABN
1 - 0
MAN
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 3
PAD
24%
27%
50%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 2
MAN
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
REN
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ABN
0 - 2
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
ABN
1 - 0
MAN
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
ABN
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ABN
1 - 1
TRE
33%
28%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
ABN
58%
25%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ABN
0 - 2
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |