Mantova vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CUN
1 - 1
MAN
61%
22%
16%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
USA
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 2
MAN
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
DEL
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
REN
2 - 2
MAN
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
ASD
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 3
SAN
29%
28%
43%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
REA
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
USA
1 - 1
SAN
43%
28%
30%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |