Mantova vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
USA
1 - 0
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
FCC
47%
26%
28%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 0
MAN
12%
19%
69%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIN
48%
26%
27%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RIM
4 - 1
MAN
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
REN
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
ASS
27%
27%
47%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
MIL
81%
14%
6%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 1
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |