Mantova vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
ACM
68%
21%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
3 - 2
MAN
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 2
MAN
12%
22%
67%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
CUN
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RIM
0 - 0
MAN
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SAV
2 - 0
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
TRE
30%
27%
43%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 2
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
ACS
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |