Mantova vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability

1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.1%
Win probability

1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

+13%
-7%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
18º
14º
40
7º
20º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
97% | |
![]() |
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
97% | |
![]() |
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
34% | |
![]() |
5º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
34% | |
![]() |
7º
|
51 | 54 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
![]() |
8º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
50% | |
![]() |
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
![]() |
10º
|
47 | 48 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
![]() |
11º
|
47 | 48 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
![]() |
13º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
![]() |
12º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
47% | |
![]() |
14º
|
43 | 43 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
![]() |
17º
|
39 | 42 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
![]() |
15º
|
40 | 41 |
16º
|
12% | |
![]() |
18º
|
39 | 40 |
17º
|
2.5% | |
![]() |
16º
|
40 | 40 |
18º
|
23.5% | |
![]() |
19º
|
39 | 40 |
19º
|
23% | |
![]() |
20º
|
30 | 34 |
20º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
Mid-table
|
97% | 40.5% |
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 39.5% |
Relegation
|
0% | 20% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 Jan. 2025 |
CTT
![]() 1 - 2
![]() MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
12 Jan. 2025 |
NUO
![]() 2 - 2
![]() MAN
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
29 Dec. 2024 |
MAN
![]() 0 - 2
![]() REG
38%
28%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
26 Dec. 2024 |
SPE
![]() 1 - 1
![]() MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
21 Dec. 2024 |
MAN
![]() 3 - 1
![]() FRO
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
![]() 1 - 2
![]() CES
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
12 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
![]() 1 - 1
![]() SAM
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
29 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
![]() 0 - 1
![]() PIS
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
26 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
![]() 1 - 1
![]() CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
22 Dec. 2024 |
USC
![]() 1 - 1
![]() SAM
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |