Mantova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 3
MAN
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CTT
6 - 0
MAN
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 0
GAL
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
CES
3 - 1
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 1
PIA
47%
28%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
MOD
2 - 1
CTT
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 1
ABN
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
CRO
4 - 2
MOD
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 1
SAS
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |