Mantova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 0
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 2
BRE
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
ANC
2 - 1
MAN
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 1
PIS
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ABN
1 - 2
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
MOD
3 - 0
ASC
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 0
LIV
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2008 |
SAS
3 - 0
MOD
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
MOD
2 - 0
FRO
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 1
MOD
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |