Mantova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
28.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 0
MAN
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAN
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 1
PIS
63%
25%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
VIC
0 - 0
MAN
37%
29%
35%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MAN
4 - 0
MES
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 0
MES
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
RIM
1 - 0
MOD
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MOD
2 - 3
ABN
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
0 - 0
MOD
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MOD
2 - 2
SPE
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |