Mantova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
19.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
28.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
LEC
53%
29%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
REG
3 - 1
MAN
50%
30%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
MAN
38%
32%
29%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
ASS
46%
29%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 1
MAN
55%
27%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
PRG
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BRE
3 - 0
MOD
72%
19%
8%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAT
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
LIV
2 - 0
MOD
54%
28%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |