Coppa Italia Serie D Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Mantova vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CIS
0 - 1
MAN
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 0
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
COM
1 - 0
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 0
GSD
78%
16%
6%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAN
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MAT
3 - 1
SAM
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAT
24%
26%
49%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 0
OLY
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 1
MAT
24%
25%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 0
PIN
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |