Mantova vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
3 - 2
FRO
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ASC
1 - 3
MAN
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
TRE
2 - 2
MAN
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 1
RIM
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
MAN
4 - 1
CES
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
CES
0 - 1
LEC
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
PIS
1 - 1
LEC
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LEC
3 - 1
RAV
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 0
MOD
58%
23%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 1
GRO
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |