Mantova vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
24.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1969 |
BRE
0 - 0
MAN
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 2
MOD
55%
29%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
LEC
53%
29%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
REG
3 - 1
MAN
50%
30%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
MAN
38%
32%
29%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1969 |
GEN
4 - 0
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
GEN
0 - 0
FCC
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 1
GEN
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 1
COM
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
TER
1 - 1
GEN
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |