Mantova vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAN
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
MAN
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
MIL
81%
14%
5%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 1
MAN
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
SCH
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
BV5
1 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
VIN
72%
19%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 3
FOR
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
VNZ
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |