Mantova vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
TRI
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
VIS
1 - 4
MAN
22%
24%
53%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 2
ASG
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LEG
0 - 0
MAN
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 4
CES
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
LEG
50%
27%
24%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
VIS
40%
28%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
FER
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
RAV
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |