Mantova vs FC Südtirol analysis

Mantova FC Südtirol
74 ELO 81
1.6% Tilt 10.6%
1150º General ELO ranking 468º
49º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
27.4%
Mantova
28.1%
Draw
44.6%
FC Südtirol

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
Mantova
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
44.6%
Win probability
FC Südtirol
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mantova
+7%
+8%
FC Südtirol

Points and table prediction

Mantova
Their league position
FC Südtirol
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
18º
14º
47
20º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sassuolo
82
85
100%
Pisa SC
72
75
100%
Spezia
63
66
97%
Cremonese
61
61
97%
Catanzaro
52
55
34%
Juve Stabia
54
55
34%
Palermo FC
51
54
57.5%
Cesena
50
51
50%
SSC Bari
47
48
33.5%
Modena
10º
47
48
10º
28.5%
FC Südtirol
11º
47
48
11º
28.5%
Carrarese
13º
44
44
12º
27.5%
Reggiana
12º
44
44
13º
47%
Mantova
14º
43
43
14º
36.5%
Brescia
17º
39
42
15º
9.5%
Sampdoria
15º
40
41
16º
12%
Salernitana
18º
39
40
17º
2.5%
Frosinone
16º
40
40
18º
23.5%
Cittadella
19º
39
40
19º
23%
Cosenza
20º
30
34
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mantova
FC Südtirol
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 16.5%
Mid-table
97% 83.5%
Relegation play-offs
3% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Mantova
FC Südtirol
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2025
PIS
Pisa SC
3 - 1
Mantova
MAN
71%
18%
12%
73 85 12 0
08 Mar. 2025
MAN
Mantova
1 - 1
Juve Stabia
JUS
41%
27%
33%
73 76 3 0
01 Mar. 2025
FRO
Frosinone
2 - 1
Mantova
MAN
72%
17%
11%
73 85 12 0
22 Feb. 2025
MAN
Mantova
0 - 1
SSC Bari
BAR
29%
28%
44%
73 83 10 0
16 Feb. 2025
PAL
Palermo FC
2 - 2
Mantova
MAN
60%
23%
17%
72 82 10 +1

Matches

FC Südtirol
FC Südtirol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2025
FCS
FC Südtirol
2 - 2
Carrarese
CAR
54%
26%
20%
82 76 6 0
09 Mar. 2025
CTT
Cittadella
1 - 5
FC Südtirol
FCS
42%
28%
30%
81 80 1 +1
28 Feb. 2025
FCS
FC Südtirol
1 - 1
Spezia
SPE
34%
27%
39%
81 86 5 0
23 Feb. 2025
BRE
Brescia
0 - 0
FC Südtirol
FCS
53%
25%
22%
81 81 0 0
15 Feb. 2025
FCS
FC Südtirol
2 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
36%
27%
37%
80 82 2 +1