Mantova vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 1
MAN
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEC
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 1
JS2
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 2
MAN
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 0
PIA
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
FCS
21%
26%
52%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 0
GER
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 2
FCS
28%
29%
43%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 0
REN
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |