Mantova vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MOD
2 - 0
MAN
61%
24%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
ACL
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ASG
3 - 2
MAN
57%
24%
20%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 0
PAD
23%
26%
50%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
FCS
78%
16%
6%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 0
MAC
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ACL
0 - 1
FCS
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
FCS
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |