Mantova vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
LEC
2 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 1
PES
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MAN
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 1
MAN
53%
25%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 2
MAN
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
CRO
0 - 3
JUV
14%
22%
64%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
CES
3 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CRO
3 - 2
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CRO
0 - 1
REG
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
CRO
2 - 1
TOR
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |