Mantova vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
25.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
RIM
1 - 3
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 1
VIC
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
PIA
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2006 |
CES
2 - 0
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
CRO
3 - 0
BOL
35%
29%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAT
3 - 2
CRO
54%
25%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 1
TOR
41%
29%
31%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
VIC
0 - 1
CRO
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 3
CRO
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |