Mantova vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 0
MAN
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 1
FCS
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 1
MAN
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEC
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 1
ACD
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 0
ABN
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
PAD
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 2
PAD
13%
22%
66%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 1
TRE
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |