Mantova vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
19%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
REG
3 - 1
MAN
50%
30%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
MAN
38%
32%
29%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
ASS
46%
29%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 1
MAN
55%
27%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
MAN
3 - 0
USF
36%
32%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
LEC
1 - 1
USF
34%
31%
35%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
LEC
0 - 0
BAR
38%
31%
31%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
CAT
1 - 1
LEC
51%
30%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
LEC
58%
27%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
LEC
0 - 1
REG
40%
31%
30%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |