Mantova vs Bassano Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 3
REN
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 3
MAN
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
FAN
79%
15%
6%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
MAN
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -3 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PRO
3 - 2
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BV5
1 - 1
FCC
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 1
BV5
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BV5
0 - 2
REN
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
BV5
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 3
BV5
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |