Mantova vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
30.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 1
TRI
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 0
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 1
CTT
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 0
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 5
LIV
32%
30%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
ASC
45%
29%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
VIC
51%
28%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 0
BAR
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
FRO
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |