Mantova vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
ABN
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
RIM
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
SAS
39%
28%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AVE
3 - 0
ANC
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ANC
1 - 2
EMP
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LIV
2 - 3
ANC
67%
22%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
ANC
3 - 1
SAL
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 0
ANC
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |