Mantova vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 2
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
ARZ
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
REN
2 - 2
MAN
55%
24%
22%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
VNZ
21%
24%
56%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ACL
0 - 0
MAN
67%
20%
12%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
PAV
2 - 1
ABN
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
4 - 0
PAV
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
USA
2 - 2
PAV
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PAV
3 - 1
FER
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAV
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |