Mantova vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
USC
0 - 0
MAN
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
USA
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
COM
0 - 2
MAN
75%
17%
9%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +3 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
ABN
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
REA
2 - 0
MAN
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ACL
0 - 0
GER
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
ACL
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 3
ACL
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ACL
1 - 3
FER
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ABN
0 - 1
ACL
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |