Mantova vs AC Giacomense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SAV
2 - 2
MAN
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
BV5
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 3
REN
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 3
MAN
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
FAN
79%
15%
6%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
AC Giacomense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ACG
1 - 2
PRO
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FAN
2 - 2
ACG
29%
26%
45%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACG
1 - 2
FOR
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACG
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ACG
1 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |