Mantova vs Cesena analysis

Mantova Cesena
76 ELO 82
3.3% Tilt 12.4%
1149º General ELO ranking 425º
49º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
28%
Mantova
26.7%
Draw
45.3%
Cesena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
Mantova
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.3%
Win probability
Cesena
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mantova
+7%
-2%
Cesena

Points and table prediction

Mantova
Their league position
Cesena
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
18º
14º
50
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sassuolo
82
85
100%
Pisa SC
72
75
100%
Spezia
63
66
97%
Cremonese
61
61
97%
Catanzaro
52
55
34%
Juve Stabia
54
55
34%
Palermo FC
51
54
57.5%
Cesena
50
51
50%
SSC Bari
47
48
33.5%
Modena
10º
47
48
10º
28.5%
FC Südtirol
11º
47
48
11º
28.5%
Carrarese
13º
44
44
12º
27.5%
Reggiana
12º
44
44
13º
47%
Mantova
14º
43
43
14º
36.5%
Brescia
17º
39
42
15º
9.5%
Sampdoria
15º
40
41
16º
12%
Salernitana
18º
39
40
17º
2.5%
Frosinone
16º
40
40
18º
23.5%
Cittadella
19º
39
40
19º
23%
Cosenza
20º
30
34
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mantova
Cesena
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 66%
Mid-table
97% 34%
Relegation play-offs
3% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Mantova
Cesena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2025
USC
Cremonese
4 - 2
Mantova
MAN
68%
19%
14%
75 88 13 0
13 Apr. 2025
MAN
Mantova
2 - 2
Spezia
SPE
29%
27%
45%
75 86 11 0
05 Apr. 2025
BRE
Brescia
1 - 2
Mantova
MAN
59%
22%
19%
74 82 8 +1
29 Mar. 2025
MAN
Mantova
2 - 0
FC Südtirol
FCS
27%
28%
45%
73 82 9 +1
16 Mar. 2025
PIS
Pisa SC
3 - 1
Mantova
MAN
71%
18%
12%
73 85 12 0

Matches

Cesena
Cesena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2025
CES
Cesena
0 - 2
Sassuolo
SAS
21%
22%
57%
83 91 8 0
13 Apr. 2025
CES
Cesena
1 - 1
Frosinone
FRO
39%
26%
35%
83 87 4 0
05 Apr. 2025
FCS
FC Südtirol
1 - 1
Cesena
CES
41%
26%
33%
82 82 0 +1
30 Mar. 2025
CES
Cesena
1 - 2
Juve Stabia
JUS
63%
21%
16%
83 77 6 -1
15 Mar. 2025
CES
Cesena
0 - 0
Spezia
SPE
42%
26%
33%
82 86 4 +1