Mantova vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PIA
0 - 2
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 2
BRE
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 1
MAN
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
EMP
33%
30%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PAD
3 - 0
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CES
0 - 0
ABN
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ANC
0 - 0
CES
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CES
2 - 2
GRO
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CES
2 - 0
BRE
30%
27%
42%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
CES
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |