Mantova vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
GRO
2 - 0
MAN
39%
24%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 1
PAV
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 2
MAN
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MAN
3 - 0
SAS
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FIA
0 - 1
MAN
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
ARZ
2 - 2
BRE
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
VIR
0 - 3
ARZ
24%
25%
52%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ARZ
3 - 0
VIC
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
EMP
1 - 1
ARZ
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
ARZ
1 - 0
VNZ
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |