Malcantone vs SC Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+236%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
11º
6º
33
6º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
87.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malcantone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ACM
2 - 3
IBA
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ACM
4 - 3
EMM
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 1
ACM
85%
10%
6%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 2
ACM
77%
15%
9%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ACM
2 - 0
FCT
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | +7 |
Matches
SC Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 4
SCE
48%
21%
31%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ROT
2 - 1
SCE
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SCE
3 - 2
CHA
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SCE
1 - 2
YVE
3%
7%
90%
|
24 | 76 | 52 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SCE
1 - 4
ZUG
22%
20%
59%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |