Malcantone vs Emmenbrücke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
58.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+236%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
11º
6º
40
4º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
87.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malcantone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 1
ACM
85%
10%
6%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 2
ACM
77%
15%
9%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ACM
2 - 0
FCT
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | +7 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 2
LAC
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BUO
2 - 0
ACM
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EMM
0 - 6
ZUG
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IBA
1 - 3
EMM
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
EMM
2 - 2
FCC
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
EMM
2 - 0
SCE
40%
22%
39%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EMM
1 - 3
LOC
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |