Lumezzane vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
RIM
0 - 2
ACL
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 2
SPE
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 1
ACL
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ACL
0 - 3
ARZ
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 2
ACL
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 0
PIS
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SPE
0 - 1
SPA
52%
27%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAV
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CES
1 - 1
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |