Lumezzane vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
NUO
3 - 0
ACL
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ACL
1 - 1
FCS
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CUN
1 - 4
ACL
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
FSD
1 - 4
ACL
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ACL
1 - 0
PER
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 0
VAL
22%
25%
53%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SAS
3 - 1
CAR
74%
18%
9%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 1
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAV
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |