Lumezzane vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 2
ACL
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ACL
0 - 2
TRE
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ACL
4 - 4
SPE
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 1
ACL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
ACL
2 - 2
ABN
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 0
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SPE
1 - 2
CTT
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 0
REG
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ACP
2 - 1
CTT
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 1
CTT
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |