Lumezzane vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ASS
3 - 0
ACL
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
ACL
2 - 2
PRO
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BV5
3 - 1
ACL
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ACL
1 - 2
REA
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
REN
1 - 1
ACL
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PAV
1 - 1
SAS
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
PAV
24%
25%
50%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAV
2 - 0
ARZ
57%
23%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 0
PAV
21%
25%
55%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
PAV
2 - 1
ABN
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |