Locri 1909 vs SS Scafatese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+89%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
18º
18º
65
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 81 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 38 |
12º
|
2% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 30 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 27 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
92% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FCI
1 - 0
LOC
49%
26%
24%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 0
LOC
17%
19%
65%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
POM
0 - 0
LOC
15%
18%
67%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 0
SIR
13%
21%
66%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
SS Scafatese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SSS
3 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 1
SSS
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NIS
4 - 2
SSS
37%
22%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SSS
3 - 1
POM
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
USV
3 - 1
SSS
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |