Locri 1909 vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+128%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
LOC
1 - 3
GEL
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 2
LOC
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
LOC
1 - 2
CIT
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 1
LOC
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LOC
1 - 2
USC
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 0
TUR
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
CCI
3 - 1
NOC
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 0
NOC
81%
15%
4%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |