Locri 1909 vs Akragas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
49.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
17º
17º
42
4º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 98 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 85 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 75 |
3º
|
88% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 69 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 59 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
|
12º
|
42 | 43 |
13º
|
65.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
74.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 31 |
16º
|
68% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
17º
|
90.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 10 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
90.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
USV
3 - 0
LOC
59%
23%
19%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 2
USC
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
4 - 0
LOC
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
0 - 2
RAG
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CSA
2 - 0
LOC
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AKR
2 - 1
CAN
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 2
AKR
14%
17%
69%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
AKR
1 - 1
CAN
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AKR
1 - 2
USV
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
USC
1 - 2
AKR
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |