AC Leon vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Leon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 1
LEO
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 2
CAR
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
7 - 2
LEO
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 2
USP
21%
22%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
LEO
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
VCB
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SON
2 - 1
FOL
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
USB
2 - 2
FOL
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
CRE
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 0
FOL
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |