AC Legnano vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 1
UNI
39%
23%
38%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 2
ADR
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CRE
0 - 1
UNI
27%
23%
50%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
UNI
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAR
76%
15%
10%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
VCB
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SON
1 - 2
CAR
68%
18%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOV
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |