Horsens U15 vs Farum U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
80.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.5%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
13º
13º
52
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsens U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ACH
3 - 4
AAL
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MID
6 - 7
ACH
87%
9%
5%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ODE
4 - 0
ACH
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 0
VEL
12%
16%
73%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 5
BRN
6%
11%
84%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Farum U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FRM
0 - 1
BRN
60%
18%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SON
1 - 2
FRM
8%
13%
80%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FRM
3 - 1
KOB
55%
19%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FRM
4 - 2
ESB
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RAN
3 - 0
FRM
13%
16%
71%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -3 |